For politicians, yes—but the new administration looks to be strongly pro-tech (unless DJ Trump gets a bee in his bonnet and turns dramatically anti-Musk).
For the national security apparatus, the second seems more in line with how they get things done. And I expect them to twig to the dramatic implications much faster than the politicians do. In this case, there’s not even anything illegal or difficult about just having some liasons at OAI and an informal request to have them present in any important meetings.
At this point I’d be surprised to see meaningful legislation slowing AI/AGI progress in the US, because the “we’re racing China” narrative is so compelling—particularly to the good old military-industrial complex, but also to people at large.
Slowing down might be handing the race to China, or at least a near-tie.
I am becoming more sure that would beat going full-speed without a solid alignment plan. Despite my complete failure to interest anyone in the question of Who is Xi Jinping? in terms of how he or his successors would use AGI. I don’t think he’s sociopathic/sadistic enough to create worse x-risks or s-risks than rushing to AGI does. But I don’t know.
For politicians, yes—but the new administration looks to be strongly pro-tech (unless DJ Trump gets a bee in his bonnet and turns dramatically anti-Musk).
For the national security apparatus, the second seems more in line with how they get things done. And I expect them to twig to the dramatic implications much faster than the politicians do. In this case, there’s not even anything illegal or difficult about just having some liasons at OAI and an informal request to have them present in any important meetings.
At this point I’d be surprised to see meaningful legislation slowing AI/AGI progress in the US, because the “we’re racing China” narrative is so compelling—particularly to the good old military-industrial complex, but also to people at large.
Slowing down might be handing the race to China, or at least a near-tie.
I am becoming more sure that would beat going full-speed without a solid alignment plan. Despite my complete failure to interest anyone in the question of Who is Xi Jinping? in terms of how he or his successors would use AGI. I don’t think he’s sociopathic/sadistic enough to create worse x-risks or s-risks than rushing to AGI does. But I don’t know.