Yeah, the fake precision is definitely silly, but I thought the ticking helped get across the underlying message (i.e. this timeline is most likely finite, and shorter than it may feel). This is more about that emotional reminder; Metaculus is obviously the best place for the full info, including crucial historical trends.
Maybe each time your refresh the page, the clock could draw a sample from the probability distribution on Metaculus to figure out when it’s counting down to.
Yeah, the fake precision is definitely silly, but I thought the ticking helped get across the underlying message (i.e. this timeline is most likely finite, and shorter than it may feel). This is more about that emotional reminder; Metaculus is obviously the best place for the full info, including crucial historical trends.
Maybe each time your refresh the page, the clock could draw a sample from the probability distribution on Metaculus to figure out when it’s counting down to.