Rooney, I think you’re interpreting “reject” as “state with certainty that it is not true” or “behave as if there is definite evidence against it”. Whereas what I mean is that one should bet at odds that are tiny or even infinitesimal when dealing with an evidentially unsupported belief in a very large search space. You have no choice but to deal this way with the vast majority of such beliefs if you want your total probabilities to sum to 1.
Pdf, maybe you’re referring to “I Don’t Know”?
Rooney, I think you’re interpreting “reject” as “state with certainty that it is not true” or “behave as if there is definite evidence against it”. Whereas what I mean is that one should bet at odds that are tiny or even infinitesimal when dealing with an evidentially unsupported belief in a very large search space. You have no choice but to deal this way with the vast majority of such beliefs if you want your total probabilities to sum to 1.