There are some kind of forecasting tournaments provided by Phillip Tetlock mainly associated with politics issues, however I’ve found no info on how to enter one. Here is a short introductory course
In my opinion prediction markets are still very raw concept which doesn’t grow and spread very well in its current form and needs capital transformation
The web page is here. In previous years they recruited new participants about this time of year, but they don’t seem to be doing so this year. They are transitioning off of IARPA funding and much of the page is broken.
This was one of many competitors in the IARPA competition. I didn’t include them because their predictions were not public. They couldn’t be public, because the whole point was to compare their results. Except Scicast, because it wasn’t predicting the same things. Even if you joined GJP, you probably only got aggregated predictions across your team, and maybe not even that.
There are some kind of forecasting tournaments provided by Phillip Tetlock mainly associated with politics issues, however I’ve found no info on how to enter one. Here is a short introductory course
In my opinion prediction markets are still very raw concept which doesn’t grow and spread very well in its current form and needs capital transformation
The web page is here. In previous years they recruited new participants about this time of year, but they don’t seem to be doing so this year. They are transitioning off of IARPA funding and much of the page is broken.
This was one of many competitors in the IARPA competition. I didn’t include them because their predictions were not public. They couldn’t be public, because the whole point was to compare their results. Except Scicast, because it wasn’t predicting the same things. Even if you joined GJP, you probably only got aggregated predictions across your team, and maybe not even that.