I have the sort of math skills that Scott claims to lack. I lack his skill at writing, and I stand in awe (and envy) at how far Scott’s variety of intelligence takes him down the path of rationality. I currently believe that the sort of reasoning he does (which does require careful thinking) does not cluster with mathy things in intelligence-space.
Look at his latest post: “hey wait a second, there is bias by censoring!” The “hard/conceptual part” is structuring the problem in the right way to notice something is wrong, the “bookkeeping” part is e.g. Kaplan-Meier / censoring-adjustment-via-truncation.
I have the sort of math skills that Scott claims to lack. I lack his skill at writing, and I stand in awe (and envy) at how far Scott’s variety of intelligence takes him down the path of rationality. I currently believe that the sort of reasoning he does (which does require careful thinking) does not cluster with mathy things in intelligence-space.
Look at his latest post: “hey wait a second, there is bias by censoring!” The “hard/conceptual part” is structuring the problem in the right way to notice something is wrong, the “bookkeeping” part is e.g. Kaplan-Meier / censoring-adjustment-via-truncation.
I don’t disagree with this. A lot of the kind of math Scott lacks is just rather complicated bookkeeping.
(Apropos of nothing, the work “bookkeeping” has the unusual property of containing three consecutive sets of doubled letters: oo,kk,ee.)