Do you think many people here think that “something is going to come along and solve our problem for us”, or that “developing AI is easy”?
Yes. In particular, the SIAI is explicitly founded on the beliefs that [...]
That isn’t really evidence that people here (currently) believe either of those. You’re claiming people here believe things even though they go against some of Eliezer’s writing (and I don’t remember any cries of “No, Eliezer, you’re wrong! Creating AI is easy!”, but I might be mistaken), and even though quite a few commenters are telling you nobody here believes that.
It depends what you mean by easy and hard. From previous conversations I expect Mr Wallace is thinking something easy is doable by means of a small group over 20-30 years and hard is a couple of generations of the whole of civilizations work.
That isn’t really evidence that people here (currently) believe either of those. You’re claiming people here believe things even though they go against some of Eliezer’s writing (and I don’t remember any cries of “No, Eliezer, you’re wrong! Creating AI is easy!”, but I might be mistaken), and even though quite a few commenters are telling you nobody here believes that.
It depends what you mean by easy and hard. From previous conversations I expect Mr Wallace is thinking something easy is doable by means of a small group over 20-30 years and hard is a couple of generations of the whole of civilizations work.
Yes, that’s how I am using the terms.