Somewhat tangential but when you list the Safety people who have departed, I’d have prefered to see some sort of comparison group or base rate, as it always raises a red flag for me when only the absolute numbers are provided.
I did a quick check by changing your prompt from ‘AGI Safety or AGI Alignment’ to ‘AGI Capabilities or AGI Advancement’ and got 60% departed (compared to 70% for AGI Safety by you) with 4o. I do think what we are seeing is alarming but it’s too easy for either ‘side’ to accidentally exagerate via framing if you don’t watch for that sort of thing.
Somewhat tangential but when you list the Safety people who have departed, I’d have prefered to see some sort of comparison group or base rate, as it always raises a red flag for me when only the absolute numbers are provided.
I did a quick check by changing your prompt from ‘AGI Safety or AGI Alignment’ to ‘AGI Capabilities or AGI Advancement’ and got 60% departed (compared to 70% for AGI Safety by you) with 4o. I do think what we are seeing is alarming but it’s too easy for either ‘side’ to accidentally exagerate via framing if you don’t watch for that sort of thing.