Yeah, I didn’t talk about that argument, or the argument that multiagent effects lead to effectively-randomly-chosen world states (see ARCHES), because those arguments don’t depend on how future AI systems will generalize and so were outside the scope of this post. A full analysis of p(doom) would need to engage with such arguments.
Yeah, I didn’t talk about that argument, or the argument that multiagent effects lead to effectively-randomly-chosen world states (see ARCHES), because those arguments don’t depend on how future AI systems will generalize and so were outside the scope of this post. A full analysis of p(doom) would need to engage with such arguments.