Even the Frequentists (remember Bayes? It’s a song about Bayes) agree that the probability of the evidence given the null hypothesis is an important number to consider. That is why I talk about what is normal, and why it is relevant that “Conspiracy theorists will find suspicious evidence, regardless of whether anything suspicious happened.”
Holocaust denial and HIV denial are easily refuted by the available evidence
Yet people don’t bother to refute them. Instead they pretend to respond.
Even the Frequentists (remember Bayes? It’s a song about Bayes) agree that the probability of the evidence given the null hypothesis is an important number to consider. That is why I talk about what is normal, and why it is relevant that “Conspiracy theorists will find suspicious evidence, regardless of whether anything suspicious happened.”
Yet people don’t bother to refute them. Instead they pretend to respond.
The presence of conspiracy theorists neither proves nor refutes the likelihood of a conspiracy. Yes.
To the best of my knowledge, nobody was claiming that it did.
sings “You can claim anything you want… with Alice’s Rhetoric” and walks out