You might need a very strong superintelligence, or one with a lot of time. But I think the correct hypothesis has extremely high evidence compared to others, and isn’t that complicated. If it has enough thought to locate the hypothesis, it has enough to find it’s better than almost any other.
Newtonian Mechanics or something a bit closer would rise very near the top of the list. It’s possible even the most likely possibilities wouldn’t be given much probability, but it would at least be somewhat modal. [Is there a continuous analogue for the mode? I don’t know what softmax is.]
Thank you for the question. I understand better, now.
You might need a very strong superintelligence, or one with a lot of time. But I think the correct hypothesis has extremely high evidence compared to others, and isn’t that complicated. If it has enough thought to locate the hypothesis, it has enough to find it’s better than almost any other.
Newtonian Mechanics or something a bit closer would rise very near the top of the list. It’s possible even the most likely possibilities wouldn’t be given much probability, but it would at least be somewhat modal. [Is there a continuous analogue for the mode? I don’t know what softmax is.]
Thank you for the question. I understand better, now.