Your betrayal of the clique is very nice, hats off to you. I also liked your idea of getting others not that interested in the game to submit bots helping you, It’s a pity it did not occur to me.
However, I think you are, too, overconfident in you winning. I’ve run a simulation of the whole tournament till the 160th round with 8 bots (MatrixCrashingBot, TitforTatBot, PasswordBot1, PasswordBot2, EmptyCloneBot, earlybird, incomprehensiblebot, CliqueZviBot) and in the final equilibrium state there are three bots: earlybird, incomprehensiblebot and CliqueZviBot with roughly equal populations. While PasswordBots do help you at the start your lead seems to disappear later when the dumb bots and non-clique members die (which is nice, because your bot’s output when simulating is pretty annoying). Sure, it’s just one run of the tournament with a low number of participants (it’s slow to do the tournament on my laptop), but it’s something.
That does revise down my expectations of winning, but my bot having run thousands of times on someone else’s computer and not crashing (or failing the clone check?) is good to hear.
Maybe I’m overestimating the snowball effects of an early pool. If the late game has everyone cooperating with everyone else, your matches with others are only giving a tiny bit fewer points than matches against your copies.
Your betrayal of the clique is very nice, hats off to you. I also liked your idea of getting others not that interested in the game to submit bots helping you, It’s a pity it did not occur to me.
However, I think you are, too, overconfident in you winning. I’ve run a simulation of the whole tournament till the 160th round with 8 bots (MatrixCrashingBot, TitforTatBot, PasswordBot1, PasswordBot2, EmptyCloneBot, earlybird, incomprehensiblebot, CliqueZviBot) and in the final equilibrium state there are three bots: earlybird, incomprehensiblebot and CliqueZviBot with roughly equal populations. While PasswordBots do help you at the start your lead seems to disappear later when the dumb bots and non-clique members die (which is nice, because your bot’s output when simulating is pretty annoying). Sure, it’s just one run of the tournament with a low number of participants (it’s slow to do the tournament on my laptop), but it’s something.
That does revise down my expectations of winning, but my bot having run thousands of times on someone else’s computer and not crashing (or failing the clone check?) is good to hear.
Maybe I’m overestimating the snowball effects of an early pool. If the late game has everyone cooperating with everyone else, your matches with others are only giving a tiny bit fewer points than matches against your copies.