I feel it’s like “A → likely B” being an evidence for “B → likely A”; generally true, but it could be either very strong or very weak evidence depending on the base rates of A and B.
Not having knowledgeable criticism against position “2 + 2 = 4” is strong evidence, because many people are familiar with the statement, many use it in their life or work, so if it is wrong, it would be likely someone would already offer some solid criticism.
But for statements that are less known or less cared about, it becomes more likely that there are good arguments against them, but no one noticed them yet, or no one bothered to write a solid paper about them.
I feel it’s like “A → likely B” being an evidence for “B → likely A”; generally true, but it could be either very strong or very weak evidence depending on the base rates of A and B.
Not having knowledgeable criticism against position “2 + 2 = 4” is strong evidence, because many people are familiar with the statement, many use it in their life or work, so if it is wrong, it would be likely someone would already offer some solid criticism.
But for statements that are less known or less cared about, it becomes more likely that there are good arguments against them, but no one noticed them yet, or no one bothered to write a solid paper about them.