A meta question—can we find areas with mismatched incentives (à la https://equilibriabook.com/ ), and biases, where the applying the rational thinking methodology would have high leverage? What can LessWrong do better than official science?
I don’t think that there’s a single “rational thinking methodology”. We have a bunch of different tools.
While the current FDA works at allow Moderna to do their human trials very early, it seems the same isn’t true for the EMA and CureVac who advises CureVac to do their first human trial only in early summer. Getting the public to be angry at the EMA for giving advice that delays a potential vaccine might be a point of high leverage.
There seems to be a strong need to get the educated public informed about the vaccine development business, so that we can exert public pressure on making it faster at the right points.
https://www.covid-watch.org/ for not privacy violating smart phone contact tracing is high leverage that might not get enough support from existing institutions.
Quantified Self has many points where the existing institutions aren’t yet focused enough.
A meta question—can we find areas with mismatched incentives (à la https://equilibriabook.com/ ), and biases, where the applying the rational thinking methodology would have high leverage? What can LessWrong do better than official science?
I don’t think that there’s a single “rational thinking methodology”. We have a bunch of different tools.
While the current FDA works at allow Moderna to do their human trials very early, it seems the same isn’t true for the EMA and CureVac who advises CureVac to do their first human trial only in early summer. Getting the public to be angry at the EMA for giving advice that delays a potential vaccine might be a point of high leverage.
There seems to be a strong need to get the educated public informed about the vaccine development business, so that we can exert public pressure on making it faster at the right points.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SQDKMFmJToYqhZT5d/mrna-vaccine-development-for-covid-19
https://www.covid-watch.org/ for not privacy violating smart phone contact tracing is high leverage that might not get enough support from existing institutions.
Quantified Self has many points where the existing institutions aren’t yet focused enough.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6kj6cbcsMQFt4ntd9/using-the-quantified-self-paradigma-for-covid-19