In my view we don’t know what percentage of infections result in a) symptoms, b) serious symptoms. It’s pretty easy to take those estimates coupled with current death rates and get a result of 100million deaths due to COVID-19. That seems super extreme and unlikely to me.
I’m not sure the usefulness of stating a 40-70% infection rate if the rate of critical symptoms within that group is only ~10%
Alcohol and bleach are both extremely common in our current environment, so if it’s possible to create these superbugs, then we should already be doing it, although this could speed up the process. And quick Google searches tell me that nothing is evolving resistance to bleach; but we are indeed creating alcohol-resistant superbugs that are starting to infest hospitals. So those may get worse.
1) are we going to create some super-bacteria by using a ton of hand sanitizer and wipes?
2) Is this report of 40-70% infection rate world-wide reputable, realistic, useful?
https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-cures/482794-officials-say-the-cdc-is-preparing-for
In my view we don’t know what percentage of infections result in a) symptoms, b) serious symptoms. It’s pretty easy to take those estimates coupled with current death rates and get a result of 100million deaths due to COVID-19. That seems super extreme and unlikely to me.
I’m not sure the usefulness of stating a 40-70% infection rate if the rate of critical symptoms within that group is only ~10%
Alcohol and bleach are both extremely common in our current environment, so if it’s possible to create these superbugs, then we should already be doing it, although this could speed up the process. And quick Google searches tell me that nothing is evolving resistance to bleach; but we are indeed creating alcohol-resistant superbugs that are starting to infest hospitals. So those may get worse.