I largely agree with this take & also think that people often aren’t aware of some of GDM’s bright spots from a safety perspective. My guess is that most people overestimate the degree to which ANT>GDM from a safety perspective.
For example, I think GDM has been thinking more about international coordination than ANT. Demis has said that he supports a “CERN for AI” model, and GDM’s governance team (led by Allan Dafoe) has written a few pieces about international coordination proposals.
ANT has said very little about international coordination. It’s much harder to get a sense of where ANT’s policy team is at. My guess is that they are less enthusiastic about international coordination relative to GDM and more enthusiastic about things like RSPs, safety cases, and letting scaling labs continue unless/until there is clearer empirical evidence of loss of control risks.
I also think GDM deserves some praise for engaging publicly with arguments about AGI ruin and threat models.
(On the other hand, GDM is ultimately controlled by Google, which makes it unclear how important Demis’s opinions or Allan’s work will be. Also, my impression is that Google was neutral or against SB1047, whereas ANT eventually said that the benefits outweighed the costs.)
I largely agree with this take & also think that people often aren’t aware of some of GDM’s bright spots from a safety perspective. My guess is that most people overestimate the degree to which ANT>GDM from a safety perspective.
For example, I think GDM has been thinking more about international coordination than ANT. Demis has said that he supports a “CERN for AI” model, and GDM’s governance team (led by Allan Dafoe) has written a few pieces about international coordination proposals.
ANT has said very little about international coordination. It’s much harder to get a sense of where ANT’s policy team is at. My guess is that they are less enthusiastic about international coordination relative to GDM and more enthusiastic about things like RSPs, safety cases, and letting scaling labs continue unless/until there is clearer empirical evidence of loss of control risks.
I also think GDM deserves some praise for engaging publicly with arguments about AGI ruin and threat models.
(On the other hand, GDM is ultimately controlled by Google, which makes it unclear how important Demis’s opinions or Allan’s work will be. Also, my impression is that Google was neutral or against SB1047, whereas ANT eventually said that the benefits outweighed the costs.)