Thanks for the links! I’ve been idly thinking about such projects as well, nice to see what ideas others have been considering. Hopefully there’s something workable in there.
But my median prediction is that none of that works, yes. Let alone on the relevant timeline (<10 years). Stuff like Manifold Markets and Twitter’s Community Notes are steps in the right direction, but they’re so very ridiculously tiny. In the meanwhile, the pressures destroying the coordination ability continue to mount.
My optimism would rise dramatically if one of these ideas spawns, say, an SV startup centered around it that ends up valued at billions of dollars within the next three years.
Thanks for the links! I’ve been idly thinking about such projects as well, nice to see what ideas others have been considering. Hopefully there’s something workable in there.
But my median prediction is that none of that works, yes. Let alone on the relevant timeline (<10 years). Stuff like Manifold Markets and Twitter’s Community Notes are steps in the right direction, but they’re so very ridiculously tiny. In the meanwhile, the pressures destroying the coordination ability continue to mount.
My optimism would rise dramatically if one of these ideas spawns, say, an SV startup centered around it that ends up valued at billions of dollars within the next three years.
Maybe this is going to be such a startup? -- A proposal for improving the global online discourse