I think the chances of the world ending on 21 December 2012 are LESS than of it ending on any other day, because having it end on that day would be so stupid. And I am willing to put my money where my mouth is, I will bet anybody who is interested at 1,000,000:1 odds that the world does not end 21 December 2012. Record your bet with me in these comments. If the world ends 21 Dec you win 1,000,000 X what you bet. If the word doesn’t end on 22 Dec, please pay off your bet with me by paypal to mwengler@gmail.com.
How about I take the opposite bet: It is either equally as likely or more likely that the world will end on December 22nd than on December 21st. If the world fails to end on either day, or ends on both days, you owe me one percent of your winnings from this bet; if the world ends on the 22nd and doesn’t end on the 21st, you owe me the the total proceeds of your winnings. If the world ends on the 21st and not on the 22nd, I will match your winnings from this bet.
I have a tongue and a cheek also.
I think the chances of the world ending on 21 December 2012 are LESS than of it ending on any other day, because having it end on that day would be so stupid. And I am willing to put my money where my mouth is, I will bet anybody who is interested at 1,000,000:1 odds that the world does not end 21 December 2012. Record your bet with me in these comments. If the world ends 21 Dec you win 1,000,000 X what you bet. If the word doesn’t end on 22 Dec, please pay off your bet with me by paypal to mwengler@gmail.com.
Jokes aside, it might be more probable. If the population is primed to panic minor events could escalate far more than they otherwise would.
How about I take the opposite bet: It is either equally as likely or more likely that the world will end on December 22nd than on December 21st. If the world fails to end on either day, or ends on both days, you owe me one percent of your winnings from this bet; if the world ends on the 22nd and doesn’t end on the 21st, you owe me the the total proceeds of your winnings. If the world ends on the 21st and not on the 22nd, I will match your winnings from this bet.
Deal?
What if you give me 1,000,000 X now, and on the 22nd if the world hasn’t ended I give you 1,000,001 X (adjusted for inflation) back?