Yeah, I don’t think BCIs are likely to help align strong AGI. (By the same token I don’t they’d hurt; and if they would hurt, that would also somewhat imply they could help if done differently.)
As I think I’ve mentioned to you before in another thread, I think it’s probably incorrect for us to sacrifice not-basically-zero hopes in 10 or 20 years, in exchange for what is in practice even smaller hopes sooner. I think the great majority of people who say they think AGI is very very (or “super”) likely in, say, the next 10 years are mostly just updating off everyone else.
Yeah, I think I am somewhat unusual in having tried to research timelines in depth and run experiments to support my research. My inside view continues to suggest we have less than 5 years. I’ve been struggling with how to write convincingly about this without divulging sociohazards. I feel apologetic for being in the situation of arguing for a point that I refuse to cite my evidence for.
Yeah, I don’t think BCIs are likely to help align strong AGI. (By the same token I don’t they’d hurt; and if they would hurt, that would also somewhat imply they could help if done differently.)
As I think I’ve mentioned to you before in another thread, I think it’s probably incorrect for us to sacrifice not-basically-zero hopes in 10 or 20 years, in exchange for what is in practice even smaller hopes sooner. I think the great majority of people who say they think AGI is very very (or “super”) likely in, say, the next 10 years are mostly just updating off everyone else.
Yeah, I think I am somewhat unusual in having tried to research timelines in depth and run experiments to support my research. My inside view continues to suggest we have less than 5 years. I’ve been struggling with how to write convincingly about this without divulging sociohazards. I feel apologetic for being in the situation of arguing for a point that I refuse to cite my evidence for.