Probably because the math isn’t explained properly.
That said, I do agree in the sense that I think juries can still come to the same verdict, the same way they do now (by intuition), and then just jigger the likelihood ratios to rationalize their decision. However, it’s still a significant improvement in that questionable judgments are made transparent.
For example, “Wait a sec—you gave 10 bits of evidence to Amanda Knox having a sex toy, but only 2 bits to her DNA being nowhere at the crime scene? What?”
Probably because the math isn’t explained properly.
That said, I do agree in the sense that I think juries can still come to the same verdict, the same way they do now (by intuition), and then just jigger the likelihood ratios to rationalize their decision. However, it’s still a significant improvement in that questionable judgments are made transparent.
For example, “Wait a sec—you gave 10 bits of evidence to Amanda Knox having a sex toy, but only 2 bits to her DNA being nowhere at the crime scene? What?”