Okay, then I think we’re in agreement. I guess I had interpreted your earlier comment as a much stronger claim about the mapping between pure Bayesianism and existing legal systems, but I definitely agree with what you’ve said here. I would just note that it would probably be more accurate to say that the rules of evidence are hacks to approximate Bayes and correct for predictable cognitive biases, though perhaps in this context those aren’t quite separate categories.
Okay, then I think we’re in agreement. I guess I had interpreted your earlier comment as a much stronger claim about the mapping between pure Bayesianism and existing legal systems, but I definitely agree with what you’ve said here. I would just note that it would probably be more accurate to say that the rules of evidence are hacks to approximate Bayes and correct for predictable cognitive biases, though perhaps in this context those aren’t quite separate categories.