Do you mean we’re waiting tiil 2026⁄27 for results of thee next scaleup? If this round (GPT5, Claude 4, Gemini 2.0) show diminishing returns, wouldn’t we expect that the next will too?
Yes, assuming Claude 4/Gemini 2.0/GPT-5 don’t release or are disappointing in 2025-2026, this is definitely evidence that things are slowing down.
It doesn’t conclusively disprove it, but it does make progress shakier.
To answer this specific question
Yes, assuming Claude 4/Gemini 2.0/GPT-5 don’t release or are disappointing in 2025-2026, this is definitely evidence that things are slowing down.
It doesn’t conclusively disprove it, but it does make progress shakier.
Agree with the rest of the comment.