FUTARCHY NOW BABY
There is insane shit going on and I dont have time for an explainer but https://themetadao.org is POPPING OFF. If you like FUTURACHY join the discord or get involved.
TLDR is someone implemented hansionian futarchy. There is a ‘selfish propossal’ being decided over the next thirty hours. If you love this shit GET IN THERE BABY.
Worth pointing out that this is up ~17x since it was posted. Sometimes, good ideas will be communicated poorly, and you’ll pay a big price for not investigating yourself. (At least I did.)
Doing a post-mortem on sapphire’s other posts, their track record is pretty great:
BTC/crypto liftoff prediction: +22%
Meta DAO: +1600%
SAVE: −60%
BSC Launcher: −100%?
OLY2021: +32%
Perpetual futures: +20%
Perpetual futures, DeFi edition: +15%
Bet on Biden: +40%
AI portfolio: approx. −5% compared to index over same time period
AI portfolio, second post: approx. +30% compared to index over same time period
OpenAI/MSFT: ~0%
Buy SOL: +1000%
There are many more that I didn’t look into.
All of these were over a couple weeks/months, so if you just blindly put 10% of your portfolio into each of the above, you get very impressive returns. (Overall, roughly ~5x relative to the broad market.)
Maybe it’s worth it hiring some people from Dickgirls research (now renamed to clearmind?) to do investing, especially in risk-neutral contexts like philanthropic investing. @sapphire.
This is a crazy hit rate. Someone should give sapphire 100MM$ to trade with.
I will note this is both a cool as fuck project and the token is like 2x+ from when I posted. So idk why im getting downvoted. I guess lesswrong jsut isnt into finance for personal gain or to look at dope stuff.
I think more like you don’t argue why you believe what you believe and instead just assert it’s cool, and the whole thing looks a bit sloppy (spelling mistakes, all-caps, etc.)
I didn’t have time or energy! This shit was going parabolic! Whatever happened to Aumann’s agreement theorem!