My sense is that the state of understanding of how transformative AI will be built and what impact it will have on the world is sufficiently low resolution and confused that we have no project or policy recommendations for the government, and will not be able to do so until we see further work that helps conceptualise this space.
To point to the type of thing I’m thinking about, here’s a bunch of work that seems centrally useful to me (list is not exhaustive):
I’m interested to see if CSET, GovAI, OpenPhil, AI Impacts, or OpenAI are able to produce anything that helps conceptualise the strategy space (of the above teams that have produced public output, I’ve mostly not read it yet).
To point to the type of thing I’m thinking about, here’s a bunch of work that seems centrally useful to me (list is not exhaustive):
Bostrom (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)
Yudkowsky (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9)
Christiano (1, 2, 3, 4)
Cotton-Barratt (1)
Hanson (1)
I’m interested to see if CSET, GovAI, OpenPhil, AI Impacts, or OpenAI are able to produce anything that helps conceptualise the strategy space (of the above teams that have produced public output, I’ve mostly not read it yet).