Once you’ve assigned a super-exponentially small probability to an event, no amount of evidence in the visible universe can make you change your mind.
I don’t see why this is necessarily a problem.
The claim that the mugger will torture 3^^^3 people, unless you give them $100, is so implausible that there should be no possible evidence that will convince you of it.
Any possible evidence is more plausibly explained by possibilities such as you being in a computer game, and the mugger being a player who’s just being a dick because they find it funny.
I don’t see why this is necessarily a problem.
The claim that the mugger will torture 3^^^3 people, unless you give them $100, is so implausible that there should be no possible evidence that will convince you of it.
Any possible evidence is more plausibly explained by possibilities such as you being in a computer game, and the mugger being a player who’s just being a dick because they find it funny.
That is one resolution.