Intuitively, once you see the contents of the big box, you really have no reason not to take the small box.
I think the word ‘intuitively’ is kind of weird, here? Like, if we swap the Transparent Newcomb’s Problem frame with the (I believe identical) Parfit’s Hitchhiker frame, I feel an intuitive sense that I should pay the driver (only take the big box), because of a handshake across time and possibility, and being the sort of agent that can follow thru on those handshakes.
I think the word ‘intuitively’ is kind of weird, here? Like, if we swap the Transparent Newcomb’s Problem frame with the (I believe identical) Parfit’s Hitchhiker frame, I feel an intuitive sense that I should pay the driver (only take the big box), because of a handshake across time and possibility, and being the sort of agent that can follow thru on those handshakes.