The first reason of why isn’t CFAR doing X is CFAR thinks other things besides X are more important targets for their effort.
At the beginning, CFAR considered probability calibration very important. As far as I understand today they consider it less important and a variety of other mental skills more important. As a result I think they decided against spending more resources on the Credence game.
As far as a Double Crux app goes, it’s a project that somebody could do but I’m not sure that CFAR is the best actor to do it. If Arbital does it and tries to build a community around it, that might be higher return.
As far as I understand CFAR chooses to spend effort on optimizing the post-workshop experience with weekly excercises. I can understand that they might belief that’s more likely to provide good returns then focusing on the pre-workshop experience.
The first reason of why isn’t CFAR doing X is CFAR thinks other things besides X are more important targets for their effort.
At the beginning, CFAR considered probability calibration very important. As far as I understand today they consider it less important and a variety of other mental skills more important. As a result I think they decided against spending more resources on the Credence game.
As far as a Double Crux app goes, it’s a project that somebody could do but I’m not sure that CFAR is the best actor to do it. If Arbital does it and tries to build a community around it, that might be higher return.
As far as I understand CFAR chooses to spend effort on optimizing the post-workshop experience with weekly excercises. I can understand that they might belief that’s more likely to provide good returns then focusing on the pre-workshop experience.
CFAR staff did publish http://lesswrong.com/lw/o6p/double_crux_a_strategy_for_resolving_disagreement/ and http://lesswrong.com/lw/o2k/flinching_away_from_truth_is_often_about/ but I guess writing concepts down in that way takes a lot of effort.