Robin would’ve had to update pretty fast to update faster than I updated. I’m like, “Tao says it works? OK.”
I don’t really find it very counterintuitive. The different velocities of wind and ground are supplying free energy. Turns out you can grab a bunch of it and move faster than the wind? I don’t see how that would violate thermodynamics or conservation of momentum. I haven’t even checked the math; it just doesn’t seem all that unlikely in the first place.
Ah: a focus on negentropy makes the idea more plausible for you at first glance. I was expecting you’d each find it counterintuitive, that Robin would be first to favor the expert consensus, and that you would wait until you’d worked through the full analysis. So I take a hit on my Bayes-score with regard to “things Eliezer finds counterintuitive”.
I find it counterintuitive, but not impossible. it’s this specific implementation that I have trouble with. But the “string” example does appear to work.
Moving faster than the wind is not even counterintuitive; sailboats can, because the mass of the wind is greater than the mass of the boat. Moving downwind faster than the wind is counterintuitive.
Right; I was talking about two linked problems (mentioned together by you), and linked to a discussion of each: sailboats keeling faster than the wind by Tao, and DDFTTW by Chu-Carroll. The characteristics I listed applied to each problem in much the same way, so I discussed them together.
Robin would’ve had to update pretty fast to update faster than I updated. I’m like, “Tao says it works? OK.”
I don’t really find it very counterintuitive. The different velocities of wind and ground are supplying free energy. Turns out you can grab a bunch of it and move faster than the wind? I don’t see how that would violate thermodynamics or conservation of momentum. I haven’t even checked the math; it just doesn’t seem all that unlikely in the first place.
Ah: a focus on negentropy makes the idea more plausible for you at first glance. I was expecting you’d each find it counterintuitive, that Robin would be first to favor the expert consensus, and that you would wait until you’d worked through the full analysis. So I take a hit on my Bayes-score with regard to “things Eliezer finds counterintuitive”.
I find it counterintuitive, but not impossible. it’s this specific implementation that I have trouble with. But the “string” example does appear to work.
Moving faster than the wind is not even counterintuitive; sailboats can, because the mass of the wind is greater than the mass of the boat. Moving downwind faster than the wind is counterintuitive.
Right; I was talking about two linked problems (mentioned together by you), and linked to a discussion of each: sailboats keeling faster than the wind by Tao, and DDFTTW by Chu-Carroll. The characteristics I listed applied to each problem in much the same way, so I discussed them together.