You specifically asked for statistics! Then you blame me for looking for statistics? Or are you saying if my statistics need to be dug up (aren’t the simplest-to-get statistics) then that makes my claim wrong? No, it just makes my claim inconveniently-shaped for statistics, which is obvious by looking at it.
Then you use general-population statistics when I specifically said it was leading-edge stuff with minimal penetration. And of course much of that change is going to be swamped by population-health changes like smoking habits (better) and weight/sedentarism (worse).
You say ‘Personalized Medicine’ is a 30 year broken promise? It was first mentioned back in 1990 and then again in 2000. Link. This does not qualify as progress we’d been promised for 30 years, let alone a promise that was not delivered. Especially since, for the top-end cohort I was talking about, it HAS begun to be delivered. No one at all could get their genome sequenced 30 years ago, and if they had, no one would have had more than the slightest clue what to do with it. Now you can, and we’ve already found a bunch of useful things out. More are coming all the time. It’s too new to show up in statistics even for those who got it, since it’s mainly a way of looking ahead.
Endoscopic surgery was in its infancy in 1984, and has greatly improved in the mean time, meaning less trauma, shorter hospital stays, and improved outcomes. That’s even widespread now. Even outside of full-on endoscopic surgery, many conventional surgeries use much-shorter incisions (I have a 4 cm appendectomy scar).
Eye surgery went from only one procedure that sometimes fixed one problem, to common and able to reliably fix several problems. It’s not necessarily going to extend one’s life much directly, but that is a lot of QALYs.
Back in 1984, HIV was a death sentence. Sure, some of the improvement is from its evolving to be less aggressive, but we’ve worked out responses, when before there was effectively nothing.
Cancer treatments have far less side-effects now, and radiotherapy can reach deeper and so target more cancers. More QALYs again, though not so much an improvement in survival. Oh, and we have a vaccine for HPV which looks like it works well.
All sorts of tricks with bone marrow and blood stem cells came up only in the ’90s or later.
You specifically asked for statistics! Then you blame me for looking for statistics? Or are you saying if my statistics need to be dug up (aren’t the simplest-to-get statistics) then that makes my claim wrong? No, it just makes my claim inconveniently-shaped for statistics, which is obvious by looking at it.
Then you use general-population statistics when I specifically said it was leading-edge stuff with minimal penetration. And of course much of that change is going to be swamped by population-health changes like smoking habits (better) and weight/sedentarism (worse).
Old folks? Numbers of very old people. Also, Centenarians is pretty suggestive.
You say ‘Personalized Medicine’ is a 30 year broken promise? It was first mentioned back in 1990 and then again in 2000. Link. This does not qualify as progress we’d been promised for 30 years, let alone a promise that was not delivered. Especially since, for the top-end cohort I was talking about, it HAS begun to be delivered. No one at all could get their genome sequenced 30 years ago, and if they had, no one would have had more than the slightest clue what to do with it. Now you can, and we’ve already found a bunch of useful things out. More are coming all the time. It’s too new to show up in statistics even for those who got it, since it’s mainly a way of looking ahead.
Endoscopic surgery was in its infancy in 1984, and has greatly improved in the mean time, meaning less trauma, shorter hospital stays, and improved outcomes. That’s even widespread now. Even outside of full-on endoscopic surgery, many conventional surgeries use much-shorter incisions (I have a 4 cm appendectomy scar).
Eye surgery went from only one procedure that sometimes fixed one problem, to common and able to reliably fix several problems. It’s not necessarily going to extend one’s life much directly, but that is a lot of QALYs.
Back in 1984, HIV was a death sentence. Sure, some of the improvement is from its evolving to be less aggressive, but we’ve worked out responses, when before there was effectively nothing.
Cancer treatments have far less side-effects now, and radiotherapy can reach deeper and so target more cancers. More QALYs again, though not so much an improvement in survival. Oh, and we have a vaccine for HPV which looks like it works well.
All sorts of tricks with bone marrow and blood stem cells came up only in the ’90s or later.
Edited to add: recent advances in prosthetics.