That academics who do not want to succeed in doing something tend to be grossly unsuccessful in doing something is weak evidence that it cannot be done.
Some business places have a lot of small high value stuff, easily stolen, and a lot of employees with unmonitored access to that stuff.
Somehow they succeed in selecting (as close to 100% as makes no difference) employees who do not steal.
The evidence that people cannot detect lying resembles the evidence that the scientific method is undefined and impossible.
The existence and practice of certain business places shows that some people are very good at predicting other people’s behavior, even when those people would prefer that they fail to predict that behavior.
That academics who do not want to succeed in doing something tend to be grossly unsuccessful in doing something is weak evidence that it cannot be done.
These academics would be richly rewarded, in and out of academia, for finding human lie detectors and even more so for finding techniques to train people into such things. This is true for all the obvious reasons, and for the more subtle reason that saying ’99.75% of people suck and the ones who don’t think this are self-deluded’ is a negative result and academia punishes negative results.
(Also, bizarre ad hominem with no real world backing. How on earth are you getting upvotes?)
Some business places have a lot of small high value stuff, easily stolen, and a lot of employees with unmonitored access to that stuff. Somehow they succeed in selecting (as close to 100% as makes no difference) employees who do not steal.
‘Shrinkage’ is and remains a problem in retail; the solutions to this have nothing to do with human lie detectors. The solutions involve filtering heavily for people who have demonstrated that they haven’t stolen in the past, summary termination upon theft, technological counter-measures, and elaborate social sanctions. If human lie detectors existed in such quantities or humans were so analyzable, why does do the diamond dealers of NYC resort to such desperate means as dealing as much as possible with their co-ethnics who have decades of reputation and social connections standing hostage for their business dealings?
(Non sequitur; how on earth is this getting upvoted?)
The evidence that people cannot detect lying resembles the evidence that the scientific method is undefined and impossible.
No evidence cited, and what is this juvenile relativism doing here?
The existence and practice of certain business places shows that some people are very good at predicting other people’s behavior, even when those people would prefer that they fail to predict that behavior.
I like how this looks like an argument, yet completely fails to include any information that matters at all. ‘existence and practice’, ‘certain business places’, ‘some people’ - all of these are empty of semantic content.
And even assuming you filled in these statements with something meaningful, so what? The point of the OP was not that predictions cannot be made about humans, the point is that the predictions are not made by a hypothetical ‘character’. Predictions made by situation are quite powerful, and I would expect that many businesses exploit this quite a bit in all sorts of ways, like placement of goods in grocery stores.
These academics would be richly rewarded, in and out of academia, for finding human lie detectors
When a businessman wants to detect liars, he is not going to turn to academia.
The strange inability of academia to detect a propensity to bad behavior, or to acknowledge that anyone else can detect such propensities is based on their horror of “discrimination”
Recall that you could tell the shoe bomber was a terrorist at forty paces, you could tell on sight that Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was some kind of criminal and up to no good, and yet the TSA insists on groping the genitals of six year old girls.
Although academics can supposedly scientifically prove it is impossible to detect propensities to behave badly, they are able to do a remarkably good job at detecting the slightest propensity to engage in politically incorrect thoughts.
Shrinkage’ is and remains a problem in retail;
Retail has low value stuff, low wage employees. High value stuff, you hire more carefully, high wage employees, you can hire more carefully.
Retail has shrinkage because they don’t care that much about shrinkage. When they do care about shrinkage, they can and routinely do solve the problem, notwithstanding academics piously saying it cannot be done.
The point is that the predictions are not made by a hypothetical ‘character’.
Yet, oddly, businesses bet on character all the time. That you cannot tell is political correctness that all normal people ridicule, much as they ridicule the TSA.
That academics who do not want to succeed in doing something tend to be grossly unsuccessful in doing something is weak evidence that it cannot be done.
Some business places have a lot of small high value stuff, easily stolen, and a lot of employees with unmonitored access to that stuff.
Somehow they succeed in selecting (as close to 100% as makes no difference) employees who do not steal.
The evidence that people cannot detect lying resembles the evidence that the scientific method is undefined and impossible.
The existence and practice of certain business places shows that some people are very good at predicting other people’s behavior, even when those people would prefer that they fail to predict that behavior.
These academics would be richly rewarded, in and out of academia, for finding human lie detectors and even more so for finding techniques to train people into such things. This is true for all the obvious reasons, and for the more subtle reason that saying ’99.75% of people suck and the ones who don’t think this are self-deluded’ is a negative result and academia punishes negative results.
(Also, bizarre ad hominem with no real world backing. How on earth are you getting upvotes?)
‘Shrinkage’ is and remains a problem in retail; the solutions to this have nothing to do with human lie detectors. The solutions involve filtering heavily for people who have demonstrated that they haven’t stolen in the past, summary termination upon theft, technological counter-measures, and elaborate social sanctions. If human lie detectors existed in such quantities or humans were so analyzable, why does do the diamond dealers of NYC resort to such desperate means as dealing as much as possible with their co-ethnics who have decades of reputation and social connections standing hostage for their business dealings?
(Non sequitur; how on earth is this getting upvoted?)
No evidence cited, and what is this juvenile relativism doing here?
I like how this looks like an argument, yet completely fails to include any information that matters at all. ‘existence and practice’, ‘certain business places’, ‘some people’ - all of these are empty of semantic content.
And even assuming you filled in these statements with something meaningful, so what? The point of the OP was not that predictions cannot be made about humans, the point is that the predictions are not made by a hypothetical ‘character’. Predictions made by situation are quite powerful, and I would expect that many businesses exploit this quite a bit in all sorts of ways, like placement of goods in grocery stores.
(Non sequitur again; good grief.)
Better not to go there.
When a businessman wants to detect liars, he is not going to turn to academia.
The strange inability of academia to detect a propensity to bad behavior, or to acknowledge that anyone else can detect such propensities is based on their horror of “discrimination”
Recall that you could tell the shoe bomber was a terrorist at forty paces, you could tell on sight that Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was some kind of criminal and up to no good, and yet the TSA insists on groping the genitals of six year old girls.
Although academics can supposedly scientifically prove it is impossible to detect propensities to behave badly, they are able to do a remarkably good job at detecting the slightest propensity to engage in politically incorrect thoughts.
Retail has low value stuff, low wage employees. High value stuff, you hire more carefully, high wage employees, you can hire more carefully.
Retail has shrinkage because they don’t care that much about shrinkage. When they do care about shrinkage, they can and routinely do solve the problem, notwithstanding academics piously saying it cannot be done.
Yet, oddly, businesses bet on character all the time. That you cannot tell is political correctness that all normal people ridicule, much as they ridicule the TSA.