You can think about any LW meet-up group around the world as an experiment
I agree with your conclusion here, but think that this is an exceptionally harsh experiment. I conjecture that basically any meetup group, no matter what source they’re using, won’t emperically lead to most people who attend it “winning”. Either it would drive most people away because its’ too intense, or it would not be focused and intense enough to actually make a difference.
Also, the meetup groups are selected against for agency and initiative, because, for better or for worse, the most initiative taking people often pick up and move to the hubs in the Bay or in Oxford.
I agree with your conclusion here, but think that this is an exceptionally harsh experiment. I conjecture that basically any meetup group, no matter what source they’re using, won’t emperically lead to most people who attend it “winning”. Either it would drive most people away because its’ too intense, or it would not be focused and intense enough to actually make a difference.
Also, the meetup groups are selected against for agency and initiative, because, for better or for worse, the most initiative taking people often pick up and move to the hubs in the Bay or in Oxford.
Or are just otherwise too busy with their life to have the time for meetups.