Reading this post with the power of hindsight one downside for a more aggressive strategy is obvious: Trust.
The Oxford AstraZenica vaccine is, by any reasonable standards safe. A tiny fraction of the people it is administered to have blood clots, but the only reason this is even known is because it has been given to millions of people. If the sample wasn’t so large we could lack the statistics to resolve the effect from coincidence. Yet, people are still quite worried about this vaccine, some governments dismiss it.
So, a faster more aggressive vaccine testing process, with the actual rollout starting at the point where your info is “its safe, and probably works” instead of waiting till you know “its safe and does work” definitely wins on trolley problem logic: until all the anti-vacers point to the one thing you rolled out that did not work. Or they point to the few people who were on the wrong side of that trolley arithmetic and died from a side-effect.
This isn’t to say you are wrong, just that their is an additional non-obvious cost to that kind of approach.
PS: I love the title. Reminds me of the website DakkaDakka, where, if I recall, one person lays out the units they have selected for their army in a wargame, then 20 people respond in all caps “NEEDS MORE DAKKA!”.
Reading this post with the power of hindsight one downside for a more aggressive strategy is obvious: Trust.
The Oxford AstraZenica vaccine is, by any reasonable standards safe. A tiny fraction of the people it is administered to have blood clots, but the only reason this is even known is because it has been given to millions of people. If the sample wasn’t so large we could lack the statistics to resolve the effect from coincidence. Yet, people are still quite worried about this vaccine, some governments dismiss it.
So, a faster more aggressive vaccine testing process, with the actual rollout starting at the point where your info is “its safe, and probably works” instead of waiting till you know “its safe and does work” definitely wins on trolley problem logic: until all the anti-vacers point to the one thing you rolled out that did not work. Or they point to the few people who were on the wrong side of that trolley arithmetic and died from a side-effect.
This isn’t to say you are wrong, just that their is an additional non-obvious cost to that kind of approach.
PS: I love the title. Reminds me of the website DakkaDakka, where, if I recall, one person lays out the units they have selected for their army in a wargame, then 20 people respond in all caps “NEEDS MORE DAKKA!”.