Don’t compute the odds that two people have been woken, compute the odds that this is a two-wakings experiment. That’s also higher than 50% and that (unlike “the odds that two people have been woken”) stays higher when you shrink the crowd size.
Don’t compute the odds that two people have been woken, compute the odds that this is a two-wakings experiment. That’s also higher than 50% and that (unlike “the odds that two people have been woken”) stays higher when you shrink the crowd size.