Oh, that’s a good example too for the main thread! I don’t remember exactly when I learned that the “eccentric orbit” theory of seasons was wrong (some time around grade 8), but remember how it happened—someone claimed that seasons in South America are flipped from the Northern Hemisphere, and I thought “that’s obviously wrong!!”, but asking around a bit other people confirmed it.
I guess this is also very similar to Folk Theories of Heat Control—you tend to end up with the simplest model which explains all relevant observations. As long as you only deal with one hemisphere, the eccentric orbit theory mostly works, and it’s much easier to remember.
I think Occam’s razor is best used when you have Model A and Model B, where Model B is identical to Model A except it has one extra idea in it. Comparing different models or different types of models through one’s intuitions about simplicity alone is generally a bad idea.
Oh, that’s a good example too for the main thread! I don’t remember exactly when I learned that the “eccentric orbit” theory of seasons was wrong (some time around grade 8), but remember how it happened—someone claimed that seasons in South America are flipped from the Northern Hemisphere, and I thought “that’s obviously wrong!!”, but asking around a bit other people confirmed it.
I guess this is also very similar to Folk Theories of Heat Control—you tend to end up with the simplest model which explains all relevant observations. As long as you only deal with one hemisphere, the eccentric orbit theory mostly works, and it’s much easier to remember.
I wonder what this says about how seriously we should take Occam’s razor.
I think Occam’s razor is best used when you have Model A and Model B, where Model B is identical to Model A except it has one extra idea in it. Comparing different models or different types of models through one’s intuitions about simplicity alone is generally a bad idea.