My primary point is that game-theory framing (especially very simple payoff matrices) is very far down the list of kinds of evidence we have for beliefs about what happened.
Narrative coherence is about what stories are being told, and how well their entanglements with other observations/witnesses, and with other things they’ve said, hold up. If two propositions (specific parts of their claims that are true or false) are inconsistent, then at least one of them is false.
My primary point is that game-theory framing (especially very simple payoff matrices) is very far down the list of kinds of evidence we have for beliefs about what happened.
Narrative coherence is about what stories are being told, and how well their entanglements with other observations/witnesses, and with other things they’ve said, hold up. If two propositions (specific parts of their claims that are true or false) are inconsistent, then at least one of them is false.