I think some of these cases aren’t irrationality at all, but difference in partial information. Belief trajectories are not path-independent: even just learning the same events in different order will lead you to updating differently. But there’s also irrationality involved (e.g. I’m very unconvinced about arguments against the gambler’s fallacy when there are people who express it in so many words all the time), it just shouldn’t be your go to explanation to dismiss everyone else but yourself.
I think some of these cases aren’t irrationality at all, but difference in partial information. Belief trajectories are not path-independent: even just learning the same events in different order will lead you to updating differently. But there’s also irrationality involved (e.g. I’m very unconvinced about arguments against the gambler’s fallacy when there are people who express it in so many words all the time), it just shouldn’t be your go to explanation to dismiss everyone else but yourself.