The way I could have evidence in favor of CT would be if I had created CT charts using the CT procedure, used CT to derive predictions from the charts, and then tested the predictions. And I’ve done this.
See, this is an example of what I mean about the CT website equaling “not understanding ‘evidence’”.
What you’ve described is primarily evidence for “more detailed models of a specific human make more accurate and surprising predictions than using a generic model of humanity.”
It is almost no evidence for CT’s actual theory.
By comparison, consider The Secret and such—“law of attraction”. If you follow some of their procedures, you actually stand a good chance of obtaining some of their results… but this does not actually lend any evidential weight to the idea that a “law of attraction” actually exists. Richard Wiseman’s “luck” research (showing a link between self-perceived “luck” and ability to notice lucky opportunities) provides a much better theory to explain such results.
In the case of CT, other practical and theoretical models involving mapping of a person’s beliefs exist. One model (which isn’t even a psychological theory, mind you) is a ToC “Current Reality Tree” (CRT) diagram based solely on elementary cause-and-effect logic. You can use a CRT to map and predict the behavior of extremely complex businesses (that is pretty much what it’s for) and make all sorts of useful predictions from one, and I’ve used them in the past with beliefs as well.
But really, a CRT is just a visualization of elementary logic, and a CT chart is shorthand for a CRT, so in effect all your “evidence” is proving is that CT’s practical approach is maybe as good as elementary logic… without providing any evidence left over for the theory itself. ;-)
That being said, building good theories involving the mind is hard; building workable techniques is much easier by comparison. (Though still no picnic!) I have long ago given up on trying to do the former, and stick with the latter, using theories now only as mnemonics and intuition pumps to drive techniques. You might be better off doing the same.
See, this is an example of what I mean about the CT website equaling “not understanding ‘evidence’”.
What you’ve described is primarily evidence for “more detailed models of a specific human make more accurate and surprising predictions than using a generic model of humanity.”
It is almost no evidence for CT’s actual theory.
By comparison, consider The Secret and such—“law of attraction”. If you follow some of their procedures, you actually stand a good chance of obtaining some of their results… but this does not actually lend any evidential weight to the idea that a “law of attraction” actually exists. Richard Wiseman’s “luck” research (showing a link between self-perceived “luck” and ability to notice lucky opportunities) provides a much better theory to explain such results.
In the case of CT, other practical and theoretical models involving mapping of a person’s beliefs exist. One model (which isn’t even a psychological theory, mind you) is a ToC “Current Reality Tree” (CRT) diagram based solely on elementary cause-and-effect logic. You can use a CRT to map and predict the behavior of extremely complex businesses (that is pretty much what it’s for) and make all sorts of useful predictions from one, and I’ve used them in the past with beliefs as well.
But really, a CRT is just a visualization of elementary logic, and a CT chart is shorthand for a CRT, so in effect all your “evidence” is proving is that CT’s practical approach is maybe as good as elementary logic… without providing any evidence left over for the theory itself. ;-)
That being said, building good theories involving the mind is hard; building workable techniques is much easier by comparison. (Though still no picnic!) I have long ago given up on trying to do the former, and stick with the latter, using theories now only as mnemonics and intuition pumps to drive techniques. You might be better off doing the same.