Even if the Tool AIs are not dangerous by itself, they will foster productivity. (You say it yourself: “These specialized models will be oriented towards augmenting human productivity”). There is already a many more people working in AI than in the 2010s, and those people are much more productive. This trend will accelerate, because AI benefits compound (eg. using Copilot to write the next Copilot) and the more ML applications automate the economy, the more investments in AI we will observe.
Even if the Tool AIs are not dangerous by itself, they will foster productivity. (You say it yourself: “These specialized models will be oriented towards augmenting human productivity”). There is already a many more people working in AI than in the 2010s, and those people are much more productive. This trend will accelerate, because AI benefits compound (eg. using Copilot to write the next Copilot) and the more ML applications automate the economy, the more investments in AI we will observe.