Most high status people, including Warren Buffett, straightforwardly haven’t considered these issues much. However, among the ones I’ve heard of who have bothered to weigh in on the issue, like Stephen Hawking, Bill Gates, Demis Hassibis, etc.; they do seem to come in favor of the side of “this is a serious problem”. On the other hand, some of them get tripped up on one of the many intellectual land mines, like Yann Lecunn.
I don’t think that’s unexpected. Intellectual land mines exist, and complicated arguments like the ones supporting AGI risk prevention are bound to cause people to make wrong decisions.
Most high status people, including Warren Buffett, straightforwardly haven’t considered these issues much.
Not that I think you’re wrong, but what are you basing this off of and how confident are you?
However, among the ones I’ve heard of who have bothered to weigh in on the issue, like Stephen Hawking, Bill Gates, Demis Hassibis, etc.; they do seem to come in favor of the side of “this is a serious problem”.
I’ve heard this too, but at the same time I don’t see any of them spending even a small fraction of their wealth on working on it, in which case I think we’re back to the original question: why the lack of concern?
On the other hand, some of them get tripped up on one of the many intellectual land mines, like Yann Lecunn. I don’t think that’s unexpected. Intellectual land mines exist, and complicated arguments like the ones supporting AGI risk prevention are bound to cause people to make wrong decisions.
Yeah, agreed. I’m just confused about the extent of it. I’d expect a lot, perhaps even a majority of “outsider” smart people to get tripped up by intellectual land mines, but instead of being 60% of these people it feels like it’s 99.99%.
Most high status people, including Warren Buffett, straightforwardly haven’t considered these issues much. However, among the ones I’ve heard of who have bothered to weigh in on the issue, like Stephen Hawking, Bill Gates, Demis Hassibis, etc.; they do seem to come in favor of the side of “this is a serious problem”. On the other hand, some of them get tripped up on one of the many intellectual land mines, like Yann Lecunn.
I don’t think that’s unexpected. Intellectual land mines exist, and complicated arguments like the ones supporting AGI risk prevention are bound to cause people to make wrong decisions.
Not that I think you’re wrong, but what are you basing this off of and how confident are you?
I’ve heard this too, but at the same time I don’t see any of them spending even a small fraction of their wealth on working on it, in which case I think we’re back to the original question: why the lack of concern?
Yeah, agreed. I’m just confused about the extent of it. I’d expect a lot, perhaps even a majority of “outsider” smart people to get tripped up by intellectual land mines, but instead of being 60% of these people it feels like it’s 99.99%.
Can you be more specific about what you mean by “intellectual landmines”?