My usual experience is that when I express my current beliefs as my current beliefs, with some nod to why I hold them, and if I actually pay attention to counterarguments and update my beliefs when those counterarguments are convincing, the end result is that I don’t end up climbing Mount Stupid… I’m simply wrong, which happens all the time.
An entirely valid point, in the narrow definition of Mount Stupid. I used it more broadly to mean “I’m not only holding an opinion about a topic in which I’m not an expert, I’m also in a situation where I have to express that opinion in public.” In this case, Mt. Stupid covers your approach (which is the reasonable approach I also use, and which is the closest we can get to rationality). The point of the above was to provoke other people’s thoughts on the general approach of what to do when you must have a non-expert opinion.
My usual experience is that when I express my current beliefs as my current beliefs, with some nod to why I hold them, and if I actually pay attention to counterarguments and update my beliefs when those counterarguments are convincing, the end result is that I don’t end up climbing Mount Stupid… I’m simply wrong, which happens all the time.
An entirely valid point, in the narrow definition of Mount Stupid. I used it more broadly to mean “I’m not only holding an opinion about a topic in which I’m not an expert, I’m also in a situation where I have to express that opinion in public.” In this case, Mt. Stupid covers your approach (which is the reasonable approach I also use, and which is the closest we can get to rationality). The point of the above was to provoke other people’s thoughts on the general approach of what to do when you must have a non-expert opinion.