I currently find myself tempted to write a new post for Discussion, on the general topic of “From a Bayesian/rationalist/winningest perspective, if there is a more-than-minuscule threat of political violence in your area, how should you go about figuring out the best course of action? What criteria should you apply? How do you figure out which group(s), if any, to try to support? How do you determine what the risk of political violence actually is? When the law says rebellion is illegal, that preparing to rebel is illegal, that discussing rebellion even in theory is illegal, when should you obey the law, and when shouldn’t you? Which lessons from HPMoR might apply? What reference books on war, game-theory, and history are good to have read beforehand? In the extreme case… where do you draw the line between choosing to pull a trigger, or not?”.
If it was simply a bad idea to have such a post, then I’d expect to take a karma hit from the downvotes, and take it as a lesson learned. However, I also find myself unsure whether or not such a post would pass the muster of the new deletionist criteria, and so I’m not sure whether or not I would be able to gather that idea—let alone whatever good ideas might result if such a thread was, in fact, something that interested other LessWrongers.
This whole thread-idea seems to fall squarely in the middle, between the approved ‘hypothetical violence near trolleys’ and ‘discussion violence against real groups’. Would anyone be interested in helping me put together a version of such a post to generate the most possible constructive discourse? Or, perhaps, would somebody like to clarify that no version of such a post would pass muster under the new policy?
I have /a/ set of answers, based on what I’ve learned so far of economics, politics, human nature, and various bits of evidence. However, I peg my confidence-levels of at least some of those answers as being low enough that I could be easily persuaded to change my mind, especially by the well-argued points that tend to crop up around here.
I currently find myself tempted to write a new post for Discussion, on the general topic of “From a Bayesian/rationalist/winningest perspective, if there is a more-than-minuscule threat of political violence in your area, how should you go about figuring out the best course of action? What criteria should you apply? How do you figure out which group(s), if any, to try to support? How do you determine what the risk of political violence actually is? When the law says rebellion is illegal, that preparing to rebel is illegal, that discussing rebellion even in theory is illegal, when should you obey the law, and when shouldn’t you? Which lessons from HPMoR might apply? What reference books on war, game-theory, and history are good to have read beforehand? In the extreme case… where do you draw the line between choosing to pull a trigger, or not?”.
If it was simply a bad idea to have such a post, then I’d expect to take a karma hit from the downvotes, and take it as a lesson learned. However, I also find myself unsure whether or not such a post would pass the muster of the new deletionist criteria, and so I’m not sure whether or not I would be able to gather that idea—let alone whatever good ideas might result if such a thread was, in fact, something that interested other LessWrongers.
This whole thread-idea seems to fall squarely in the middle, between the approved ‘hypothetical violence near trolleys’ and ‘discussion violence against real groups’. Would anyone be interested in helping me put together a version of such a post to generate the most possible constructive discourse? Or, perhaps, would somebody like to clarify that no version of such a post would pass muster under the new policy?
Do you have answers to those questions? Just “Hey, this problem exists” has not historically been shown to be productive.
I have /a/ set of answers, based on what I’ve learned so far of economics, politics, human nature, and various bits of evidence. However, I peg my confidence-levels of at least some of those answers as being low enough that I could be easily persuaded to change my mind, especially by the well-argued points that tend to crop up around here.