Possible new pandemic? China’s concealing evidence again, looks like the smart money is against ‘new virus’ but thinks it’s drug-resistant pneumonia, specifically resistant to the drugs that are safe for small children.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/11/28/chinese-hospitals-pandemic-outbreak-pneumonia/
A number of Manifold markets under https://manifold.markets/browse?topic=pandemic, looks like most are trading around 10% chance of anything happening outside China.
Possible new pandemic? China’s concealing evidence again, looks like the smart money is against ‘new virus’ but thinks it’s drug-resistant pneumonia, specifically resistant to the drugs that are safe for small children.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/11/28/chinese-hospitals-pandemic-outbreak-pneumonia/
A number of Manifold markets under https://manifold.markets/browse?topic=pandemic, looks like most are trading around 10% chance of anything happening outside China.