I’m curious about two things related to Julija’s comment here—not about what she said but what those reading it actually did. It is clearly the most highly voted contribution but does that mean anyone up-voting the comment really updated their own view, priors or plans?
“When in 2014 the war began, it was a complete surprise and shock for everyone” is the most interesting part to me. People often think variants of “it couldn’t happen here” or “we would have plenty of warning”.
I’m curious about two things related to Julija’s comment here—not about what she said but what those reading it actually did. It is clearly the most highly voted contribution but does that mean anyone up-voting the comment really updated their own view, priors or plans?
If so, in what sense did you update. If not, why?
“When in 2014 the war began, it was a complete surprise and shock for everyone” is the most interesting part to me. People often think variants of “it couldn’t happen here” or “we would have plenty of warning”.