Thank you for putting in the work to write this article.
Polarization in my evaluations increases. E.g. two sensible sounding ideas become one great idea and one stupid idea.
That doesn’t necessarily have to happen. Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-Sided
Tedlock writes in Superforcasting that Superforcasters are able to make more distinctions then people who are less good at forcasting.
I appreciate your feedback :)
That doesn’t necessarily have to happen.
Certainly. That’s why I treat trends in these things only as curious observations, and take care never to feed them to inputs of my mapping/decision processes.
Thank you for putting in the work to write this article.
That doesn’t necessarily have to happen. Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-Sided
Tedlock writes in Superforcasting that Superforcasters are able to make more distinctions then people who are less good at forcasting.
I appreciate your feedback :)
Certainly. That’s why I treat trends in these things only as curious observations, and take care never to feed them to inputs of my mapping/decision processes.