What do your probability estimates and expected value calculations say?
I agree with your assessment that this would effectively delay WBE, and therefore increase the chances of it occurring last but I can’t even guess at how likely that is to actually be effective without at least a rough estimate of how long it will take to develop de novo AGI.
Your idea is very interesting, but I’ll admit I had a strong negative emotional reaction. It’s hard for me to imagine any situation under which I would sit down and do some calculations, check them over a few times, and then go start killing people and blowing stuff up over the result. I’m not prepared to joint the Rational Liberation Front just yet.
//edit: I also really want to see where brain emulation research goes, out of scientific curiosity.
I agree with your assessment that this would effectively delay WBE, and therefore increase the chances of it occurring last but I can’t even guess at how likely that is to actually be effective without at least a rough estimate of how long it will take to develop de novo AGI.
Your idea is very interesting, but I’ll admit I had a strong negative emotional reaction. It’s hard for me to imagine any situation under which I would sit down and do some calculations, check them over a few times, and then go start killing people and blowing stuff up over the result. I’m not prepared to joint the Rational Liberation Front just yet.
//edit: I also really want to see where brain emulation research goes, out of scientific curiosity.
This seems understandable, but I hope it isn’t a significant factor in your decision making...