We’ll do the cost-benefit analysis and over time it will look like a good career for a smaller and smaller fraction of people (until eventually basically everyone for whom it looks like a good idea is already doing it).
That could kind of qualitatively look like “something else is more important,” or “things kind of seem under control and it’s getting crowded,” or “there’s no longer enough money to fund scaleup.” Of those, I expect “something else is more important” to be the first to go (though it depends a bit on how broadly you interpret “from AI,” if anything related to the singularity / radically accelerating growth is classified as “from AI” then it may be a core part of the EA careers shtick kind of indefinitely, with most of the action in which of the many crazy new aspects of the world people are engaging with).
How will we know when it’s not worth getting more people to work on reducing existential risk from AI?
We’ll do the cost-benefit analysis and over time it will look like a good career for a smaller and smaller fraction of people (until eventually basically everyone for whom it looks like a good idea is already doing it).
That could kind of qualitatively look like “something else is more important,” or “things kind of seem under control and it’s getting crowded,” or “there’s no longer enough money to fund scaleup.” Of those, I expect “something else is more important” to be the first to go (though it depends a bit on how broadly you interpret “from AI,” if anything related to the singularity / radically accelerating growth is classified as “from AI” then it may be a core part of the EA careers shtick kind of indefinitely, with most of the action in which of the many crazy new aspects of the world people are engaging with).