Can somebody who actually knows this area give some probabilities on when immortality will actually be achieved? I genuinely am not qualified to do this, but surely somebody on this site may know enough to at least enlighten the rest of us somewhat on the matter.
Welp, the error bars are /extremely/ high, but if you want a figure to start working with, the table on page 16 of http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf implies that brain uploads might be achieved circa 2040… though I’m reasonably sure that’s not /quite/ what the authour actually meant. :)
Can somebody who actually knows this area give some probabilities on when immortality will actually be achieved? I genuinely am not qualified to do this, but surely somebody on this site may know enough to at least enlighten the rest of us somewhat on the matter.
Welp, the error bars are /extremely/ high, but if you want a figure to start working with, the table on page 16 of http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.pdf implies that brain uploads might be achieved circa 2040… though I’m reasonably sure that’s not /quite/ what the authour actually meant. :)