There is strong consensus that BQP does not contain NP, but it is not as strong as the overwhelming consensus that P != NP.
Presumably because P = NP would imply that NP is contained in BQP, so you can’t believe the first of your statements without believing the second.
Presumably because P = NP would imply that NP is contained in BQP, so you can’t believe the first of your statements without believing the second.