I also bet more than 50% chance that within 3 years at least one of {Google, Microsoft, Facebook, Amazon} will give more than 50% of their software engineers the ability to work from home for at least 80% of their workdays.
If that’s not just a figure of speech, I’ll take this bet. $100 each?
(This is not intended as commentary on the question at hand.)
If that’s not just a figure of speech, I’ll take this bet. $100 each?
(This is not intended as commentary on the question at hand.)
You think I would use the language of belief probabilities as a figure of speech???
I’m up for $100 vs $100. Just send me a message at https://m.me/sendmessage to confirm with your real identity.
Update: I lost this bet and have paid out. https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/10/tech/google-work-from-home-coronavirus/index.html
That was not how I was expecting this bet to resolve!
Always remember to model tail events causing all your bets come out the wrong way… :)