Taking your numbers at face value, you’d have 1.5 billion passenger hours afflicted by the ban per life saved, or about 3000 lifetimes worth of hours.
Or: if people spent every waking minute of their lives under annoying regulatory requirments about as bad as this one with the same tradeoffs, the benefit would be extending the average lifespan from 77.28 years to 77.29 years.
I expect most people would demand more like +10 years of lifespan in return for that level of restriction, not +0.01 years. So the cost benefit is probably off by ~3 orders of magnitude.
I generally prefer to think about this kind of tradeoff by scaling up the benefits to 1 life and then concentrating the costs in 1 life, and seeing how the tradeoff looks. That might be idiosyncratic, but to me it’s very natural to ask my gut how much lifespan I’d like to trade off for a few minutes of pain or inconvenience.
Taking your numbers at face value, you’d have 1.5 billion passenger hours afflicted by the ban per life saved, or about 3000 lifetimes worth of hours.
Or: if people spent every waking minute of their lives under annoying regulatory requirments about as bad as this one with the same tradeoffs, the benefit would be extending the average lifespan from 77.28 years to 77.29 years.
I expect most people would demand more like +10 years of lifespan in return for that level of restriction, not +0.01 years. So the cost benefit is probably off by ~3 orders of magnitude.
I generally prefer to think about this kind of tradeoff by scaling up the benefits to 1 life and then concentrating the costs in 1 life, and seeing how the tradeoff looks. That might be idiosyncratic, but to me it’s very natural to ask my gut how much lifespan I’d like to trade off for a few minutes of pain or inconvenience.