Well, I guess there are lots of non-Bayesians among non-believers too. And I’ve heard quite a few believers who, while they were likely not familiar with the concept of probability, made a distinction between belief and knowledge (IIRC, a priest saying “the devil believes in God more strongly than any man, including the Pope: he knows God exists because he has seen him, unlike the Pope who hasn’t and so might still have some doubt”.)
Well, I guess there are lots of non-Bayesians among non-believers too. And I’ve heard quite a few believers who, while they were likely not familiar with the concept of probability, made a distinction between belief and knowledge (IIRC, a priest saying “the devil believes in God more strongly than any man, including the Pope: he knows God exists because he has seen him, unlike the Pope who hasn’t and so might still have some doubt”.)
Most people are non-Bayesians, including non-believers.
Clearly the Devil should be more rational. How does he know he’s not a soul in a vat?